Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.041404 0.045009 0.048644 0.052578 0.056709 0.060912 0.065504
2025-09-21 0.036037 0.041392 0.046972 0.053198 0.059925 0.066951 0.074822
2025-09-28 0.032571 0.039273 0.046460 0.054685 0.063781 0.073482 0.084559
2025-10-05 0.028407 0.035940 0.044247 0.053983 0.064985 0.076938 0.090817
2025-10-12 0.025631 0.033875 0.043194 0.054347 0.067180 0.081341 0.098009
2025-10-19 0.023552 0.032405 0.042641 0.055120 0.069707 0.086017 0.105435
2025-10-26 0.021731 0.031074 0.042107 0.055791 0.072016 0.090372 0.112448
2025-11-02 0.018884 0.028267 0.039627 0.053995 0.071304 0.091144 0.115268
2025-11-09 0.017011 0.026540 0.038336 0.053511 0.072044 0.093520 0.119872
2025-11-16 0.015447 0.025093 0.037294 0.053241 0.072966 0.096053 0.124617
2025-11-23 0.014825 0.024847 0.037729 0.054770 0.076045 0.101129 0.132349
2025-11-30 0.014128 0.024441 0.037918 0.055957 0.078686 0.105672 0.139455
2025-12-07 0.013233 0.023732 0.037706 0.056657 0.080772 0.109624 0.145964
2025-12-14 0.012235 0.022813 0.037168 0.056905 0.082278 0.112873 0.151649
2025-12-21 0.011718 0.022554 0.037494 0.058259 0.085171 0.117818 0.159393
2025-12-28 0.010495 0.021161 0.036203 0.057434 0.085261 0.119301 0.162937
2026-01-04 0.009754 0.020446 0.035810 0.057767 0.086803 0.122558 0.168632
2026-01-11 0.009213 0.020002 0.035769 0.058548 0.088908 0.126506 0.175169
2026-01-18 0.008684 0.019540 0.035673 0.059234 0.090877 0.130280 0.181500
2026-01-25 0.007483 0.017878 0.033760 0.057363 0.089448 0.129754 0.182499
2026-02-01 0.006748 0.016939 0.032864 0.056857 0.089784 0.131426 0.186200
2026-02-08 0.006129 0.016149 0.032150 0.056575 0.090393 0.133428 0.190302
2026-02-15 0.005994 0.016224 0.032754 0.058164 0.093512 0.138644 0.198438